TIER CPICK: WAS
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 58%Projected margin: 0.6
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS C-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.
MISSED
Model picked WAS but NYJ won. Projected margin was 0.6 -- the model overestimated by 1.4 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
WAS4 LISTEDBrian Robinson
RB · Hamstring
OUT
NYJ6 LISTED