MIN @ GB – Week 10 2026
MIN
GB
MIN
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 10 · 2026 SEASON
GB
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: GB 59%Projected margin: -0.6
GB
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.6
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.016Net EPA / play+0.082
-0.116Offense EPA / play+0.115
-0.100Defense EPA / play+0.033
42.6%Offense success %47.7%
41.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
GB is our early forecast in MIN @ GB (Week 10, 2026). The model assigns 58.8% confidence and projects GB by 0.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | GB market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
201.5SEASON PPR
J.Addison
WR
135.1SEASON PPR
J.Mason
RB
128.9SEASON PPR
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Minnesota VikingsPASSING
J.McCarthy1632 yd · 11 TD · 12 INT
RUSHING
J.Mason758 yd · 6 TD
A.Jones548 yd · 2 TD
J.McCarthy181 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
J.Jefferson84 rec · 1048 yd · 2 TD
J.Addison42 rec · 610 yd · 3 TD
J.Nailor29 rec · 444 yd · 4 TD
T.Hockenson51 rec · 438 yd · 3 TD
VS
1,632PASSyds3,381
1,487RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@MINW1 2026 | — | MIN | — |
| GB@MINW18 2025 | GB 3, MIN 16 | GB | L |
| MIN@GBW12 2025 | MIN 6, GB 23 | GB | W |
| GB@MINW17 2024 | GB 25, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
| MIN@GBW4 2024 | MIN 31, GB 29 | GB | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs GB
Who is favored in Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers?
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 59% win probability. The margin models project GB by 0.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers play?
Week 10 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers game?
Minnesota Vikings, 3-16 in Week 18 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Minnesota Vikings or the Green Bay Packers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Green Bay Packers: MIN -0.016 against GB +0.082.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
