CAR @ NO – Week 10 2026
CAR
NO
CAR
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 10 · 2026 SEASON
NO
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: NO 63%Projected margin: -2.2
NO
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.2
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.107Net EPA / play-0.029
-0.039Offense EPA / play-0.088
+0.067Defense EPA / play-0.059
43.1%Offense success %42.0%
44.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors NO at 63%.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
NO goes for it on 4th down 26% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
H2H EDGE
NO has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against CAR.
Net-positive signal profile for NO. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | NO market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CAR
B.Young
QB
218.0SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
216.3SEASON PPR
T.McMillan
WR
213.4SEASON PPR
NO
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Carolina PanthersPASSING
B.Young3011 yd · 23 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
R.Dowdle1076 yd · 6 TD
C.Hubbard511 yd · 1 TD
B.Young216 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
T.McMillan70 rec · 1014 yd · 7 TD
J.Coker33 rec · 394 yd · 3 TD
X.Legette35 rec · 363 yd · 3 TD
R.Dowdle39 rec · 297 yd · 1 TD
VS
3,011PASSyds2,384
1,803RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@CARW14 2026 | — | CAR | — |
| CAR@NOW15 2025 | CAR 17, NO 20 | CAR | L |
| NO@CARW10 2025 | NO 17, CAR 7 | CAR | L |
| NO@CARW9 2024 | NO 22, CAR 23 | NO | L |
| CAR@NOW1 2024 | CAR 10, NO 47 | NO | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs NO
Who is favored in Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints?
Our model takes New Orleans Saints at 63% win probability. The margin models project NO by 2.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints play?
Week 10 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints game?
New Orleans Saints, 17-20 in Week 15 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Carolina Panthers or the New Orleans Saints?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New Orleans Saints: CAR -0.107 against NO -0.029.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
