2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TB @ NYG – Week 8 2020
TB
NYG
TB
AWAY
25@23
TB +2
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: TB
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: TB 65%Projected margin: -7.4
TB
PICK SIDE
-13.0
SPREAD
-7.4
PROJ MARGIN
-649
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked TB. Projected margin: 7.4. Actual: 2. Off by 5.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.0 | TB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -649 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -598 | Won · +$0.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TB
No noteworthy trends
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
39°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
TB
Tom Brady
QB
337.9SEASON PPR
Mike Evans
WR
248.6SEASON PPR
Chris Godwin Jr.
WR
191.0SEASON PPR
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
180.0SEASON PPR
Sterling Shepard
WR
162.5SEASON PPR
Evan Engram
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB@NYGW12 2024 | TB 30, NYG 7 | TB | W |
| NYG@TBW11 2021 | NYG 10, TB 30 | TB | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES