Titans vs Bengals – Week 8 2020
TEN
CIN
TEN
AWAY
20@31
CIN BY 11
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
Paycor Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
CIN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Tennessee Titans 20, Cincinnati Bengals 31.
Going in, our model had favored Tennessee Titans at 67% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 3 Titans, 5 Bengals.
Model confidence: TEN 67%Our line: TEN -6.0
ODDS
SPREAD
TEN -7.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
TEN -6.0
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TEN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
67%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
+0.053Net EPA / play-0.141
+0.171 (3)Offense EPA / play-0.049 (26)
+0.117 (28)Defense EPA / play+0.092 (26)
50.1% (3)Offense success %43.6% (23)
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN A+-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked TEN but CIN won. Projected margin was 6.0, the model overestimated by 17.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 18.5 points.
HIGH WIND
24 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
TEN
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
CIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
24 MPH
WINDY
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Tennessee TitansPASSING
Ryan Tannehill3819 yd · 33 TD · 7 INT
RECEIVING
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@TENW15 2024 | CIN 37, TEN 27 | CIN | W |
| CIN@TENW4 2023 | CIN 3, TEN 27 | CIN | L |
| CIN@TENW12 2022 | CIN 20, TEN 16 | TEN | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs CIN
Our model takes Tennessee Titans at 67% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project TEN by 6.0. The market has TEN at -7.5.
Cincinnati Bengals won, TEN 20, CIN 31. Our model had favored Tennessee Titans at 67% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Tennessee Titans at -7.5, meaning the book expects Tennessee Titans to win by 7.5 points.
In Week 8, the Tennessee Titans were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Cincinnati Bengals were without 5 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 49.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 49.1, 0.4 below the market.
Week 8 of the 2020 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Cincinnati Bengals, CIN 37, TEN 27 in Week 15 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Tennessee Titans: TEN +0.053 against CIN -0.141.
