2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ CIN – Week 8 2020
TEN
CIN
TEN
AWAY
20@31
CIN +11
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
CIN
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: TEN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: TEN 67%Projected margin: -8.4
TEN
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
-8.4
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN A+-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked TEN but CIN won. Projected margin was 8.4 -- the model overestimated by 19.4 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 18.5 points.
HIGH WIND
24 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | TEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -321 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
CIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
24 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
TEN
Ryan Tannehill
QB
344.4SEASON PPR
Derrick Henry
RB
333.1SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
247.5SEASON PPR
CIN
Tee Higgins
WR
194.6SEASON PPR
Tyler Boyd
WR
192.6SEASON PPR
Joe Burrow
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@TENW15 2024 | CIN 37, TEN 27 | CIN | W |
| CIN@TENW4 2023 | CIN 3, TEN 27 | CIN | L |
| CIN@TENW12 2022 | CIN 20, TEN 16 | TEN | L |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES