2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SF @ SEA – Week 8 2020
SF
SEA
SF
AWAY
27@37
SEA +10
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER C
PICK: SF
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: SF 49%Projected margin: -0.9
SF
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
-0.9
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF C-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SF but SEA won. Projected margin was 0.9 -- the model overestimated by 10.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -110 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SF
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
55°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SF
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
184.5SEASON PPR
Jeff Wilson
RB
142.3SEASON PPR
Kendrick Bourne
WR
129.7SEASON PPR
SEA
Russell Wilson
QB
359.8SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
271.3SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@SFW18 2025 | SEA 13, SF 3 | SF | L |
| SF@SEAW1 2025 | SF 17, SEA 13 | SEA | L |
| SEA@SFW11 2024 | SEA 20, SF 17 | SF | L |
| SF@SEAW6 2024 | SF 36, SEA 24 | SF | W |
| SEA@SFW14 2023 | SEA 16, SF 28 | SF | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES