2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ MIA – Week 8 2020
LA
MIA
LA
AWAY
17@28
MIA +11
FINAL · WEEK 8
2020 SEASON
MIA
HOME
TIER C
PICK: LA
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LA 55%Projected margin: -3.5
LA
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
-3.5
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA C-tier pick misses. MIA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LA but MIA won. Projected margin was 3.5 -- the model overestimated by 14.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 14.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -176 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
No noteworthy trends
MIA
Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
86°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
LA
Robert Woods
WR
245.1SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
240.0SEASON PPR
Cooper Kupp
WR
210.7SEASON PPR
MIA
DeVante Parker
WR
166.3SEASON PPR
Myles Gaskin
RB
164.2SEASON PPR
Mike Gesicki
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@LAW10 2024 | MIA 23, LA 15 | LA | L |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES