TIER CPICK: NE
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NE 59%Projected margin: 1.3
GAME NARRATIVE
NE C-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NE but WAS won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 4.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
NE
Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
WAS3 LISTED
NE12 LISTEDDeVante Parker
WR · Concussion
OUT