2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ PIT – Week 9 2023
TEN
PIT
TEN
AWAY
16@20
PIT +4
FINAL · WEEK 9
2023 SEASON
PIT
HOME
TIER A
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 72%Projected margin: 5.4
PIT
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
5.4
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PIT by 5.4. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 1.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -175 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
PIT
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
40°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
246.7SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
223.6SEASON PPR
Tyjae Spears
RB
153.8SEASON PPR
PIT
George Pickens
WR
208.8SEASON PPR
Jaylen Warren
RB
196.4SEASON PPR
Najee Harris
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@PITW15 2021 | TEN 13, PIT 19 | TEN | L |
| PIT@TENW7 2020 | PIT 27, TEN 24 | TEN | L |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES