2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ARI @ CLE – Week 9 2023
ARI
CLE
ARI
AWAY
0@27
CLE +27
FINAL · WEEK 9
2023 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 70%Projected margin: 6.2
CLE
PICK SIDE
-13.0
SPREAD
6.2
PROJ MARGIN
-649
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 6.2. Actual: 27. Off by 20.8 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.0 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -649 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -750 | Won · +$0.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
CLE
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
56°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
ARI
James Conner
RB
201.5SEASON PPR
Trey McBride
TE
181.5SEASON PPR
Kyler Murray
QB
146.4SEASON PPR
CLE
Amari Cooper
WR
227.0SEASON PPR
Jerome Ford
RB
211.2SEASON PPR
David Njoku
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@CLEW6 2021 | ARI 37, CLE 14 | ARI | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES