2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ BAL – Week 9 2023
SEA
BAL
SEA
AWAY
3@37
BAL +34
FINAL · WEEK 9
2023 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: BAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BAL 62%Projected margin: 2.6
BAL
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
2.6
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BAL. Projected margin: 2.6. Actual: 34. Off by 31.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 28.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -270 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
No noteworthy trends
BAL
Road Favorite 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
70°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
227.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
225.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
BAL
Lamar Jackson
QB
331.2SEASON PPR
Zay Flowers
WR
206.4SEASON PPR
Gus Edwards
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES