MIA @ GB – Week 15 2026
MIA
GB
MIA
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
GB
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: GB 65%Projected margin: -2.7
GB
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.7
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.105Net EPA / play+0.082
-0.017Offense EPA / play+0.115
+0.088Defense EPA / play+0.033
41.9%Offense success %47.7%
48.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
GB is our early forecast in MIA @ GB (Week 15, 2026). The model assigns 64.6% confidence and projects GB by 2.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | GB market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
MIA
D.Achane
RB
322.8SEASON PPR
J.Waddle
WR
194.1SEASON PPR
T.Tagovailoa
QB
160.7SEASON PPR
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Miami DolphinsPASSING
T.Tagovailoa2660 yd · 20 TD · 15 INT
RUSHING
D.Achane1350 yd · 8 TD
J.Wright288 yd · 2 TD
O.Gordon199 yd · 3 TD
RECEIVING
J.Waddle64 rec · 910 yd · 6 TD
D.Achane67 rec · 488 yd · 4 TD
G.Dulcich26 rec · 335 yd · 1 TD
M.Washington46 rec · 317 yd · 3 TD
VS
2,660PASSyds3,381
1,837RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@GBW13 2024 | MIA 17, GB 30 | GB | W |
| GB@MIAW16 2022 | GB 26, MIA 20 | GB | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSMIA vs GB
Who is favored in Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers?
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 65% win probability. The margin models project GB by 2.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers play?
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers game?
Green Bay Packers, 17-30 in Week 13 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Miami Dolphins or the Green Bay Packers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Green Bay Packers: MIA -0.105 against GB +0.082.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
