Jets vs Cardinals – Week 15 2026
NYJ
ARI
NYJ
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ
ARI
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Cardinals over the Jets at 50% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: ARI 50%Our line: ARI +0.0
80% range around our line: NYJ by 17 to ARI by 17. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the ARI game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
ARI —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
ARI +0.0
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
ARI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
50%
ARI · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
50%
DIFFERENCE
+0%
| SPORTSBOOK | NYJ | ARI | ARI WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -110 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 15 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.037Net EPA / play-0.142
-0.025 (20)Offense EPA / play-0.018 (16)
-0.062 (5)Defense EPA / play+0.124 (29)
42.8% (16)Offense success %45.9% (12)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
ARI is our early forecast in NYJ @ ARI (Week 15, 2026). The model assigns 50% confidence and projects NYJ by 0.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
CLOSING LINE VALUE
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
ARI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@ARIW10 2024 | NYJ 6, ARI 31 | ARI | W |
| ARI@NYJW5 2020 | ARI 30, NYJ 10 | ARI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs ARI
Our model takes Arizona Cardinals at 50% win probability. The margin models project NYJ by 0.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Arizona Cardinals at 50% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Arizona Cardinals, NYJ 6, ARI 31 in Week 10 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Jets: NYJ +0.037 against ARI -0.142.
