NYJ @ ARI – Week 15 2026
NYJ
ARI
NYJ
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 15 · 2026 SEASON
ARI
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: ARI 62%Projected margin: -1.4
ARI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.4
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.274Net EPA / play-0.107
-0.127Offense EPA / play-0.018
+0.147Defense EPA / play+0.088
40.7%Offense success %43.0%
45.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: ARI at 62%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
ARI generates -0.018 EPA/play on offense. NYJ's defense allows 0.147. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
DRIVE EFF
ARI scores 1.6 points per drive vs 1.0 for NYJ. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for ARI. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | ARI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYJ
B.Hall
RB
207.7SEASON PPR
J.Fields
QB
142.7SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
99.5SEASON PPR
ARI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York JetsPASSING
J.Fields1259 yd · 7 TD · 1 INT
RUSHING
B.Hall1065 yd · 4 TD
J.Fields383 yd · 4 TD
I.Davis236 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
G.Wilson36 rec · 395 yd · 4 TD
M.Taylor44 rec · 369 yd · 1 TD
B.Hall36 rec · 350 yd · 1 TD
A.Mitchell24 rec · 301 yd · 2 TD
VS
1,259PASSyds3,366
1,684RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@ARIW10 2024 | NYJ 6, ARI 31 | ARI | W |
| ARI@NYJW5 2020 | ARI 30, NYJ 10 | ARI | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs ARI
Who is favored in New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals?
Our model takes Arizona Cardinals at 62% win probability. The margin models project ARI by 1.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals play?
Week 15 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Who won the last New York Jets vs Arizona Cardinals game?
Arizona Cardinals, 6-31 in Week 10 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the New York Jets or the Arizona Cardinals?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Arizona Cardinals: NYJ -0.274 against ARI -0.107.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
