2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ARI @ NYJ – Week 5 2020
ARI
NYJ
ARI
AWAY
30@10
ARI +20
FINAL · WEEK 5
2020 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ARI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ARI 55%Projected margin: -2.6
ARI
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
-2.6
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ARI. Projected margin: 2.6. Actual: 20. Off by 17.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 13.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | ARI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -295 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
64°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
ARI
Kyler Murray
QB
378.7SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
287.8SEASON PPR
Kenyan Drake
RB
192.2SEASON PPR
NYJ
Jamison Crowder
WR
172.0SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
134.0SEASON PPR
Frank Gore
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@ARIW10 2024 | NYJ 6, ARI 31 | ARI | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES