Vikings vs Seahawks – Week 5 2020
MIN
SEA
MIN
AWAY
26@27
SEA BY 1
FINAL · WEEK 5
2020 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Minnesota Vikings 26, Seattle Seahawks 27.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 57% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Vikings, 1 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 57%Our line: SEA -2.4
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -6.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -2.4
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
57%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 5
-0.003Net EPA / play+0.047
+0.095 (8)Offense EPA / play+0.087 (11)
+0.098 (27)Defense EPA / play+0.040 (17)
49.2% (5)Offense success %48.2% (6)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SEA by 2.4. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 1.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
MIN
No noteworthy trends
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
54°F
WIND
10 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@SEAW13 2025 | MIN 0, SEA 26 | SEA | W |
| MIN@SEAW16 2024 | MIN 27, SEA 24 | MIN | W |
| SEA@MINW3 2021 | SEA 17, MIN 30 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 57% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 2.4. The market has SEA at -6.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, MIN 26, SEA 27. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 57% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -6.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 6.5 points.
In Week 5, the Minnesota Vikings were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 54.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.4, 7.6 below the market.
Week 5 of the 2020 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, MIN 0, SEA 26 in Week 13 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Seattle Seahawks: MIN -0.003 against SEA +0.047.
