2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ MIN – Week 3 2021
SEA
MIN
SEA
AWAY
17@30
MIN +13
FINAL · WEEK 3
2021 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: SEA 58%Projected margin: -5.1
SEA
PICK SIDE
-2.0
SPREAD
-5.1
PROJ MARGIN
-133
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick misses. MIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SEA but MIN won. Projected margin was 5.1 -- the model overestimated by 18.1 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 15.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -133 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -120 | Lost · -$1.00 |
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
SEA
DK Metcalf
WR
244.3SEASON PPR
Russell Wilson
QB
242.8SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
241.4SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
330.4SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
300.3SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@SEAW13 2025 | MIN 0, SEA 26 | SEA | W |
| MIN@SEAW16 2024 | MIN 27, SEA 24 | MIN | W |
| MIN@SEAW5 2020 | MIN 26, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES