Seahawks vs Vikings – Week 3 2021
SEA
MIN
SEA
AWAY
17@30
MIN BY 13
FINAL · WEEK 3
2021 SEASON
U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN
MIN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 17, Minnesota Vikings 30.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 3 Seahawks, 3 Vikings.
Model confidence: SEA 58%Our line: SEA -2.7
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -2.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -2.7
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
TEAM COMPARISON2021 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 3
+0.003Net EPA / play+0.035
+0.031 (14)Offense EPA / play+0.017 (16)
+0.028 (22)Defense EPA / play-0.018 (12)
43.2% (21)Offense success %41.4% (24)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick misses. MIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SEA but MIN won. Projected margin was 2.7, the model overestimated by 15.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 15.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
MIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2021 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Seattle SeahawksPASSING
Russell Wilson3113 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
Rashaad Penny749 yd · 6 TD
Alex Collins411 yd · 2 TD
Chris Carson232 yd · 3 TD
RECEIVING
Tyler Lockett73 rec · 1175 yd · 8 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@SEAW13 2025 | MIN 0, SEA 26 | SEA | W |
| MIN@SEAW16 2024 | MIN 27, SEA 24 | MIN | W |
| MIN@SEAW5 2020 | MIN 26, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs MIN
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 2.7. The market has SEA at -2.0.
Minnesota Vikings won, SEA 17, MIN 30. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 58% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -2.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 2.0 points.
In Week 3, the Seattle Seahawks were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Minnesota Vikings were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 53.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 47.3, 6.2 below the market.
Week 3 of the 2021 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, MIN 0, SEA 26 in Week 13 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2021 season, Minnesota Vikings: SEA +0.003 against MIN +0.035.
