Vikings vs Seahawks – Week 13 2025
MIN
SEA
MIN
AWAY
0@26
SEA BY 26
FINAL · WEEK 13
2025 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Minnesota Vikings 0, Seattle Seahawks 26.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 79% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Vikings, 2 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 79%Our line: SEA -11.0
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -12.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -11.0
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
-0.016Net EPA / play+0.150
-0.116 (28)Offense EPA / play+0.033 (13)
-0.100 (4)Defense EPA / play-0.117 (2)
42.6% (23)Offense success %46.3% (7)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 11.0. Actual: 26. Off by 15.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 13.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
MIN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
2 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@SEAW16 2024 | MIN 27, SEA 24 | MIN | W |
| SEA@MINW3 2021 | SEA 17, MIN 30 | SEA | L |
| MIN@SEAW5 2020 | MIN 26, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 79% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project SEA by 11.0. The market has SEA at -12.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, MIN 0, SEA 26. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 79% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -12.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 12.5 points.
In Week 13, the Minnesota Vikings were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 42.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.1, 3.6 above the market.
Week 13 of the 2025 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Minnesota Vikings, MIN 27, SEA 24 in Week 16 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Seattle Seahawks: MIN -0.016 against SEA +0.150.
