TIER CPICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BUF 60%Projected margin: -0.3
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 0.3. Actual: 19. Off by 18.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 16.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
HIGH WIND
16 MPH winds and 34°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BUF
Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
COLD GAMEWINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
BUF7 LISTEDDion Dawkins
T · Concussion
OUT
Spencer Brown
T · Shoulder
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS