NFL WEEK 3 2021 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 3 2021.
The most confident pick, the Baltimore Ravens at 73%, won 19-17.
Our most confident Week 3 pick is the Baltimore Ravens over the Detroit Lions, at 73% win probability.
5 of 16 games on the Week 3 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Pittsburgh Steelers at 61% win probability lost 10-24.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 6-4 (60%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 3 2021 pick is the Baltimore Ravens over the Detroit Lions, at 73% win probability.
5 of 16 games in Week 3 2021 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 3, 2021, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 3 2021.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Pittsburgh Steelers at 61% win probability lost 10-24. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 6-4 (60%) against a 66% all-time rate.