2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ CLE – Week 3 2021
CHI
CLE
CHI
AWAY
6@26
CLE +20
FINAL · WEEK 3
2021 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 57%Projected margin: 2.2
CLE
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
2.2
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 2.2. Actual: 20. Off by 17.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 12.5 points.
HIGH WIND
22 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -375 | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
CLE
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
70°F
WIND
22 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
CHI
Darnell Mooney
WR
219.7SEASON PPR
David Montgomery
RB
195.0SEASON PPR
Justin Fields
QB
126.8SEASON PPR
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
215.3SEASON PPR
Baker Mayfield
QB
180.9SEASON PPR
Jarvis Landry
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@CHIW15 2025 | CLE 3, CHI 31 | CHI | W |
| CHI@CLEW15 2023 | CHI 17, CLE 20 | CLE | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES