2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CIN @ BAL – Week 5 2020
CIN
BAL
CIN
AWAY
3@27
BAL +24
FINAL · WEEK 5
2020 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER S
PICK: BAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BAL 72%Projected margin: 10.6
BAL
PICK SIDE
-12.5
SPREAD
10.6
PROJ MARGIN
-604
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BAL. Projected margin: 10.6. Actual: 24. Off by 13.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.5 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -12.5 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -604 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -718 | Won · +$0.17 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
No noteworthy trends
BAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
69°F
WIND
3 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CIN
Tee Higgins
WR
194.6SEASON PPR
Tyler Boyd
WR
192.6SEASON PPR
Joe Burrow
QB
173.7SEASON PPR
BAL
Lamar Jackson
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Marquise Brown
WR
183.0SEASON PPR
Mark Andrews
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@CINW15 2025 | BAL 24, CIN 0 | BAL | W |
| CIN@BALW13 2025 | CIN 32, BAL 14 | BAL | L |
| CIN@BALW10 2024 | CIN 34, BAL 35 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CINW5 2024 | BAL 41, CIN 38 | BAL | W |
| CIN@BALW11 2023 | CIN 20, BAL 34 | BAL | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES