TB @ BAL – Week 14 2026
TB
BAL
TB
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
BAL
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: BAL 65%Projected margin: -3.7
BAL
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-3.7
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.022Net EPA / play+0.010
-0.009Offense EPA / play+0.034
+0.013Defense EPA / play+0.024
42.4%Offense success %44.6%
44.9%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
BAL is our early forecast in TB @ BAL (Week 14, 2026). The model assigns 65.2% confidence and projects BAL by 3.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | BAL market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
TB
B.Mayfield
QB
271.9SEASON PPR
E.Egbuka
WR
195.7SEASON PPR
R.White
RB
143.0SEASON PPR
BAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Tampa Bay BuccaneersPASSING
B.Mayfield3693 yd · 26 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
B.Irving588 yd · 1 TD
R.White572 yd · 4 TD
B.Mayfield382 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
E.Egbuka63 rec · 938 yd · 6 TD
C.Otton59 rec · 572 yd · 1 TD
S.Shepard39 rec · 371 yd · 1 TD
M.Evans30 rec · 368 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,693PASSyds2,549
1,542RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@TBW7 2024 | BAL 41, TB 31 | BAL | W |
| BAL@TBW8 2022 | BAL 27, TB 22 | TB | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSTB vs BAL
Who is favored in Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens?
Our model takes Baltimore Ravens at 65% win probability. The margin models project BAL by 3.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Baltimore Ravens play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens game?
Baltimore Ravens, 41-31 in Week 7 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers or the Baltimore Ravens?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Baltimore Ravens: TB -0.022 against BAL +0.010.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
