MIN @ NE – Week 14 2026
MIN
NE
MIN
AWAY
@
THU 8:15 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
NE
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: NE 72%Projected margin: -6.1
NE
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-6.1
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.016Net EPA / play+0.205
-0.116Offense EPA / play+0.158
-0.100Defense EPA / play-0.047
42.6%Offense success %48.4%
41.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: NE at 72%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
NE generates 0.158 EPA/play on offense. MIN's defense allows -0.100. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
DRIVE EFF
NE scores 2.2 points per drive vs 1.3 for MIN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for NE. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | NE market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
201.5SEASON PPR
J.Addison
WR
135.1SEASON PPR
J.Mason
RB
128.9SEASON PPR
NE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Minnesota VikingsPASSING
J.McCarthy1632 yd · 11 TD · 12 INT
RUSHING
J.Mason758 yd · 6 TD
A.Jones548 yd · 2 TD
J.McCarthy181 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
J.Jefferson84 rec · 1048 yd · 2 TD
J.Addison42 rec · 610 yd · 3 TD
J.Nailor29 rec · 444 yd · 4 TD
T.Hockenson51 rec · 438 yd · 3 TD
VS
1,632PASSyds4,394
1,487RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE@MINW12 2022 | NE 26, MIN 33 | NE | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs NE
Who is favored in Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots?
Our model takes New England Patriots at 72% win probability. The margin models project NE by 6.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, THU 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots game?
Minnesota Vikings, 26-33 in Week 12 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Minnesota Vikings or the New England Patriots?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New England Patriots: MIN -0.016 against NE +0.205.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
