NO @ CAR – Week 14 2026
NO
CAR
NO
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
CAR
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: CAR 61%Projected margin: -1.6
CAR
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.6
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.029Net EPA / play-0.107
-0.088Offense EPA / play-0.039
-0.059Defense EPA / play+0.067
42.0%Offense success %43.1%
41.8%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CAR is our early forecast in NO @ CAR (Week 14, 2026). The model assigns 60.8% confidence and projects CAR by 1.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CAR market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NO
C.Olave
WR
268.0SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
179.9SEASON PPR
T.Shough
QB
158.0SEASON PPR
CAR
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New Orleans SaintsPASSING
T.Shough2384 yd · 10 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
A.Kamara471 yd · 1 TD
D.Neal206 yd · 2 TD
A.Estime198 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
C.Olave100 rec · 1163 yd · 9 TD
J.Johnson77 rec · 889 yd · 3 TD
R.Shaheed44 rec · 499 yd · 2 TD
D.Vele25 rec · 293 yd · 2 TD
VS
2,384PASSyds3,011
875RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@NOW10 2026 | — | NO | — |
| CAR@NOW15 2025 | CAR 17, NO 20 | CAR | L |
| NO@CARW10 2025 | NO 17, CAR 7 | CAR | L |
| NO@CARW9 2024 | NO 22, CAR 23 | NO | L |
| CAR@NOW1 2024 | CAR 10, NO 47 | NO | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSNO vs CAR
Who is favored in New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers?
Our model takes Carolina Panthers at 61% win probability. The margin models project CAR by 1.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers game?
New Orleans Saints, 17-20 in Week 15 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the New Orleans Saints or the Carolina Panthers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New Orleans Saints: NO -0.029 against CAR -0.107.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
