Rams vs 49ers – Week 14 2026
LA
SF
LA
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara, CA
SF
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the 49ers over the Rams at 69% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: SF 69%Our line: SF -6.9
80% range around our line: LA by 10 to SF by 24. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the SF game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
SF —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SF -6.9
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
SF · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
69%
SF · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
46%
DIFFERENCE
+23%
| SPORTSBOOK | LA | SF | SF WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -130 | +110 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 14 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.114Net EPA / play+0.276
+0.073 (9)Offense EPA / play+0.209 (2)
-0.042 (10)Defense EPA / play-0.067 (4)
47.3% (7)Offense success %52.7% (1)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: SF at 69%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
SF generates 0.209 EPA/play on offense. LA's defense allows -0.042. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
DRIVE EFF
SF scores 2.8 points per drive vs 1.9 for LA. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for SF. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
CLOSING LINE VALUE
OUR NUMBER
+2.5
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@LAW1 2026 | SF 27, LA 7 | LA | L |
| LA@SFW10 2025 | LA 42, SF 26 | LA | W |
| SF@LAW5 2025 | SF 26, LA 23 | LA | L |
| LA@SFW15 2024 | LA 12, SF 6 | LA | W |
| SF@LAW3 2024 | SF 24, LA 27 | SF | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs SF
Our model takes San Francisco 49ers at 69% win probability. The margin models project SF by 6.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors San Francisco 49ers at 69% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
San Francisco 49ers, SF 27, LA 7 in Week 1 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, San Francisco 49ers: LA +0.114 against SF +0.276.
