Broncos vs Jets – Week 14 2026
DEN
NYJ
DEN
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYJ
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Broncos over the Jets at 75% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: DEN 75%Our line: DEN -9.3
80% range around our line: NYJ by 8 to DEN by 27. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the DEN game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
DEN —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
DEN -9.3
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
DEN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
75%
DEN · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
68%
DIFFERENCE
+7%
| SPORTSBOOK | DEN | NYJ | DEN WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 14 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.041Net EPA / play+0.037
-0.066 (24)Offense EPA / play-0.025 (20)
-0.025 (14)Defense EPA / play-0.062 (5)
39.9% (26)Offense success %42.8% (16)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors DEN at 75%.
H2H EDGE
DEN has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against NYJ.
RED ZONE
DEN converts 60% in the red zone vs 40% for NYJ. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 9.3-point margin.
Multiple signals align in DEN's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@NYJW6 2025 | DEN 13, NYJ 11 | DEN | W |
| DEN@NYJW4 2024 | DEN 10, NYJ 9 | NYJ | L |
| NYJ@DENW5 2023 | NYJ 31, DEN 21 | DEN | L |
| NYJ@DENW7 2022 | NYJ 16, DEN 9 | NYJ | W |
| NYJ@DENW3 2021 | NYJ 0, DEN 26 | DEN | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSDEN vs NYJ
Our model takes Denver Broncos at 75% win probability. The margin models project DEN by 9.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Denver Broncos at 75% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Denver Broncos, DEN 13, NYJ 11 in Week 6 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Jets: DEN -0.041 against NYJ +0.037.
