Titans vs Lions – Week 14 2026
TEN
DET
TEN
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
Ford Field · Detroit, MI
DET
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Lions over the Titans at 79% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: DET 79%Our line: DET -11.0
80% range around our line: TEN by 6 to DET by 28. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the DET game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
DET —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
DET -11.0
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
DET · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
79%
DET · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
76%
DIFFERENCE
+3%
| SPORTSBOOK | TEN | DET | DET WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 14 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.228Net EPA / play+0.029
-0.149 (31)Offense EPA / play+0.180 (3)
+0.078 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.152 (31)
40.5% (25)Offense success %49.1% (4)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: DET at 79%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
DET generates 0.180 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.078. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
DET goes for it on 4th down 31% of the time, among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
DET converts 93% in the red zone vs 45% for TEN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
DET scores 2.7 points per drive vs 0.9 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 11.0-point margin.
Multiple signals align in DET's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DET
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@DETW8 2024 | TEN 14, DET 52 | DET | W |
| DET@TENW15 2020 | DET 25, TEN 46 | TEN | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs DET
Our model takes Detroit Lions at 79% win probability. The margin models project DET by 11.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Detroit Lions at 79% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Detroit Lions, TEN 14, DET 52 in Week 8 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Detroit Lions: TEN -0.228 against DET +0.029.
