TEN @ DET – Week 14 2026
TEN
DET
TEN
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
DET
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: DET 76%Projected margin: -7.9
DET
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-7.9
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.260Net EPA / play+0.091
-0.160Offense EPA / play+0.081
+0.100Defense EPA / play-0.010
37.4%Offense success %45.2%
45.1%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: DET at 76%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
DET generates 0.081 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.100. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
DET goes for it on 4th down 27% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
DET converts 92% in the red zone vs 68% for TEN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
DET scores 2.2 points per drive vs 1.0 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.9-point margin.
Multiple signals align in DET's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | DET market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
TEN
C.Ward
QB
186.7SEASON PPR
T.Pollard
RB
185.8SEASON PPR
C.Dike
WR
128.1SEASON PPR
DET
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Tennessee TitansPASSING
C.Ward3169 yd · 15 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
T.Pollard1082 yd · 5 TD
T.Spears283 yd · 2 TD
C.Ward159 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
C.Okonkwo56 rec · 560 yd · 2 TD
E.Ayomanor41 rec · 515 yd · 4 TD
C.Dike48 rec · 423 yd · 4 TD
G.Helm44 rec · 357 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,169PASSyds4,564
1,524RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@DETW8 2024 | TEN 14, DET 52 | DET | W |
| DET@TENW15 2020 | DET 25, TEN 46 | TEN | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs DET
Who is favored in Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions?
Our model takes Detroit Lions at 76% win probability. The margin models project DET by 7.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Tennessee Titans and Detroit Lions play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions game?
Detroit Lions, 14-52 in Week 8 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Tennessee Titans or the Detroit Lions?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Detroit Lions: TEN -0.260 against DET +0.091.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
