CHI @ MIA – Week 14 2026
CHI
MIA
CHI
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
MIA
HOME
Model confidence: CHI 63%Projected margin: -1.4
CHI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.4
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.061Net EPA / play-0.105
+0.080Offense EPA / play-0.017
+0.018Defense EPA / play+0.088
45.8%Offense success %41.9%
46.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CHI is our early forecast in CHI @ MIA (Week 14, 2026). The model assigns 63.5% confidence and projects CHI by 1.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CHI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CHI
C.Williams
QB
318.2SEASON PPR
D.Swift
RB
228.6SEASON PPR
D.Moore
WR
172.2SEASON PPR
MIA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Chicago BearsPASSING
C.Williams3942 yd · 27 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
D.Swift1087 yd · 9 TD
K.Monangai783 yd · 5 TD
C.Williams383 yd · 3 TD
RECEIVING
C.Loveland58 rec · 713 yd · 6 TD
D.Moore50 rec · 682 yd · 6 TD
R.Odunze44 rec · 661 yd · 6 TD
L.Burden47 rec · 652 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,942PASSyds2,660
2,253RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@CHIW9 2022 | MIA 35, CHI 32 | MIA | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSCHI vs MIA
Who is favored in Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins?
Our model takes Chicago Bears at 63% win probability. The margin models project CHI by 1.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Chicago Bears and Miami Dolphins play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Chicago Bears vs Miami Dolphins game?
Miami Dolphins, 35-32 in Week 9 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Chicago Bears or the Miami Dolphins?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Chicago Bears: CHI +0.061 against MIA -0.105.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
