ATL @ CLE – Week 14 2026
ATL
CLE
ATL
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
CLE
HOME
Model confidence: ATL 68%Projected margin: -3.4
ATL
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-3.4
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.018Net EPA / play-0.094
-0.021Offense EPA / play-0.190
-0.004Defense EPA / play-0.096
43.7%Offense success %34.5%
44.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
ATL is our early forecast in ATL @ CLE (Week 14, 2026). The model assigns 68.4% confidence and projects ATL by 3.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | ATL market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
370.8SEASON PPR
K.Pitts
TE
210.8SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
201.9SEASON PPR
CLE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Atlanta FalconsPASSING
M.Penix1982 yd · 9 TD · 3 INT
RUSHING
B.Robinson1478 yd · 7 TD
T.Allgeier514 yd · 8 TD
M.Penix70 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
K.Pitts88 rec · 928 yd · 5 TD
D.London68 rec · 919 yd · 7 TD
B.Robinson79 rec · 820 yd · 4 TD
D.Mooney32 rec · 443 yd · 1 TD
VS
1,982PASSyds1,400
2,062RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@ATLW4 2022 | CLE 20, ATL 23 | CLE | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSATL vs CLE
Who is favored in Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns?
Our model takes Atlanta Falcons at 68% win probability. The margin models project ATL by 3.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Atlanta Falcons and Cleveland Browns play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns game?
Atlanta Falcons, 20-23 in Week 4 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Atlanta Falcons or the Cleveland Browns?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Atlanta Falcons: ATL -0.018 against CLE -0.094.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
