BUF @ GB – Week 14 2026
BUF
GB
BUF
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
GB
HOME
Model confidence: BUF 66%Projected margin: -3.0
BUF
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-3.0
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.152Net EPA / play+0.082
+0.136Offense EPA / play+0.115
-0.016Defense EPA / play+0.033
48.5%Offense success %47.7%
42.4%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
BUF is our early forecast in BUF @ GB (Week 14, 2026). The model assigns 66.4% confidence and projects BUF by 3.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | BUF market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
BUF
J.Allen
QB
364.6SEASON PPR
J.Cook
RB
302.2SEASON PPR
K.Shakir
WR
166.4SEASON PPR
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Buffalo BillsPASSING
J.Allen3668 yd · 25 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
J.Cook1621 yd · 12 TD
J.Allen579 yd · 14 TD
R.Davis275 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
K.Shakir72 rec · 719 yd · 4 TD
D.Kincaid39 rec · 571 yd · 5 TD
D.Knox36 rec · 417 yd · 4 TD
K.Coleman38 rec · 404 yd · 4 TD
VS
3,668PASSyds3,381
2,475RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@BUFW8 2022 | GB 17, BUF 27 | BUF | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSBUF vs GB
Who is favored in Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers?
Our model takes Buffalo Bills at 66% win probability. The margin models project BUF by 3.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Buffalo Bills and Green Bay Packers play?
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Who won the last Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers game?
Buffalo Bills, 17-27 in Week 8 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Buffalo Bills or the Green Bay Packers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Buffalo Bills: BUF +0.152 against GB +0.082.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
