Colts vs Eagles – Week 14 2026
IND
PHI
IND
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 14 · 2026 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Eagles over the Colts at 62% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: PHI 62%Our line: PHI -4.0
80% range around our line: IND by 13 to PHI by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the PHI game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -4.0
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
PHI · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
69%
DIFFERENCE
-7%
| SPORTSBOOK | IND | PHI | PHI WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +205 | -250 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 14 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.150Net EPA / play-0.196
-0.051 (22)Offense EPA / play-0.127 (30)
+0.099 (27)Defense EPA / play+0.069 (24)
42.2% (19)Offense success %36.2% (31)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
PHI is our early forecast in IND @ PHI (Week 14, 2026). The model assigns 62% confidence and projects PHI by 4.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@INDW11 2022 | PHI 17, IND 16 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSIND vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 62% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 4.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Philadelphia Eagles at 62% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 14 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, PHI 17, IND 16 in Week 11 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Indianapolis Colts: IND -0.150 against PHI -0.196.
