2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ IND – Week 11 2022
PHI
IND
PHI
AWAY
17@16
PHI +1
FINAL · WEEK 11
2022 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 68%Projected margin: -4.2
PHI
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-4.2
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 4.2. Actual: 1. Off by 3.2 points but directionally right.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -270 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
IND
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
378.0SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
299.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
256.6SEASON PPR
IND
Michael Pittman
WR
216.5SEASON PPR
Matt Ryan
QB
155.3SEASON PPR
Parris Campbell
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 11
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES