DAL @ MIN – Week 11 2022

MIN C-tier pick misses. DAL takes it.

Model picked MIN but DAL won. Projected margin was 0.9 -- the model overestimated by 37.9 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 35.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.