2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ MIN – Week 8 2021
DAL
MIN
DAL
AWAY
20@16
DAL +4
FINAL · WEEK 8
2021 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 54%Projected margin: -0.5
DAL
PICK SIDE
+4.5
SPREAD
-0.5
PROJ MARGIN
+191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 0.5. Actual: 4. Off by 3.5 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +4.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +193 | Won · +$1.91 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 5-0 ATS (100%)
MIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
DAL
Dak Prescott
QB
320.6SEASON PPR
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
252.1SEASON PPR
CeeDee Lamb
WR
232.8SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
330.4SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
300.3SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@DALW15 2025 | MIN 34, DAL 26 | DAL | L |
| DAL@MINW11 2022 | DAL 40, MIN 3 | MIN | L |
| DAL@MINW11 2020 | DAL 31, MIN 28 | MIN | L |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES