2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ KC – Week 8 2021
NYG
KC
NYG
AWAY
17@20
KC +3
FINAL · WEEK 8
2021 SEASON
KC
HOME
TIER B
PICK: KC
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: KC 61%Projected margin: 5.2
KC
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
5.2
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
KC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected KC by 5.2. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 2.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 7.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | KC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -530 | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
KC
Windy 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
39°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
167.5SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
148.6SEASON PPR
Devontae Booker
RB
144.1SEASON PPR
KC
Patrick Mahomes
QB
361.7SEASON PPR
Tyreek Hill
WR
296.5SEASON PPR
Travis Kelce
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES