2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ ARI – Week 8 2021
GB
ARI
GB
AWAY
24@21
GB +3
FINAL · WEEK 8
2021 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER C
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 51%Projected margin: 0.1
GB
PICK SIDE
+6.5
SPREAD
0.1
PROJ MARGIN
+255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 0.1. Actual: 3. Off by 3.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +6.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | +255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +242 | Won · +$2.55 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 2-4 ATS (33%)
ARI
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
GB
Davante Adams
WR
344.3SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
333.3SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
RB
229.0SEASON PPR
ARI
Kyler Murray
QB
300.5SEASON PPR
James Conner
RB
257.7SEASON PPR
Christian Kirk
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@ARIW7 2025 | GB 27, ARI 23 | GB | W |
| ARI@GBW6 2024 | ARI 13, GB 34 | GB | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES