2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ HOU – Week 8 2021
LA
HOU
LA
AWAY
38@22
LA +16
FINAL · WEEK 8
2021 SEASON
HOU
HOME
TIER S
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: LA 75%Projected margin: -11.8
LA
PICK SIDE
-17.0
SPREAD
-11.8
PROJ MARGIN
-1155
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 11.8. Actual: 16. Off by 4.2 points but directionally right.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.0 point -- a bad-beat loss.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -17.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1155 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1010 | Won · +$0.09 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Road Favorite 3-5 ATS (38%)
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
439.5SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
329.7SEASON PPR
Van Jefferson
WR
168.2SEASON PPR
HOU
Brandin Cooks
WR
231.8SEASON PPR
Davis Mills
QB
157.0SEASON PPR
Rex Burkhead
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES