2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ LAC – Week 8 2021
NE
LAC
NE
AWAY
27@24
NE +3
FINAL · WEEK 8
2021 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER C
PICK: LAC
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LAC 54%Projected margin: 1.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
1.3
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC C-tier pick misses. NE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LAC but NE won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 4.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -183 | Lost · -$1.00 |
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
NE
Mac Jones
QB
224.9SEASON PPR
Damien Harris
RB
210.1SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
186.3SEASON PPR
LAC
Justin Herbert
QB
380.8SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
343.8SEASON PPR
Keenan Allen
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@NEW17 2024 | LAC 40, NE 7 | LAC | W |
| LAC@NEW13 2023 | LAC 6, NE 0 | LAC | W |
| NE@LACW13 2020 | NE 45, LAC 0 | NE | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES