2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ NE – Week 13 2023
LAC
NE
LAC
AWAY
6@0
LAC +6
FINAL · WEEK 13
2023 SEASON
NE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 60%Projected margin: -1.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
-1.3
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LAC. Projected margin: 1.3. Actual: 6. Off by 4.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -225 | Won · +$0.52 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
Divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)
NE
Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
44°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
LAC
Keenan Allen
WR
278.9SEASON PPR
Justin Herbert
QB
234.2SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
185.4SEASON PPR
NE
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
174.5SEASON PPR
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB
145.7SEASON PPR
Hunter Henry
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@NEW17 2024 | LAC 40, NE 7 | LAC | W |
| NE@LACW8 2021 | NE 27, LAC 24 | LAC | L |
| NE@LACW13 2020 | NE 45, LAC 0 | NE | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES