TIER BPICK: KC
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: KC 65%Projected margin: -3.2
GAME NARRATIVE
KC B-tier pick misses. GB takes it.
MISSED
Model picked KC but GB won. Projected margin was 3.2 -- the model overestimated by 11.2 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 13.5 points.
COLD GAME
31°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
KC
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
KC2 LISTEDJerick McKinnon
RB · Groin
QUESTIONABLE
GB10 LISTEDEric Stokes
CB · Hamstring
DOUBTFUL
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS