2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ DAL – Week 13 2023
SEA
DAL
SEA
AWAY
35@41
DAL +6
FINAL · WEEK 13
2023 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: DAL 76%Projected margin: 8.2
DAL
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
8.2
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected DAL by 8.2. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 2.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -500 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
No noteworthy trends
DAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
227.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
225.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
403.2SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
342.8SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@SEAW3 2020 | DAL 31, SEA 38 | SEA | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES