2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIA @ WAS – Week 13 2023
MIA
WAS
MIA
AWAY
45@15
MIA +30
FINAL · WEEK 13
2023 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 71%Projected margin: -6.5
MIA
PICK SIDE
-8.5
SPREAD
-6.5
PROJ MARGIN
-340
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIA. Projected margin: 6.5. Actual: 30. Off by 23.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 21.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.5 | MIA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -340 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -455 | Won · +$0.29 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIA
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
53°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
MIA
Tyreek Hill
WR
376.4SEASON PPR
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
270.4SEASON PPR
Raheem Mostert
RB
267.7SEASON PPR
WAS
Sam Howell
QB
257.5SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
203.2SEASON PPR
Brian Robinson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@MIAW11 2025 | WAS 13, MIA 16 | MIA | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES