ARI @ PIT – Week 13 2023

PIT S-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.

Model picked PIT but ARI won. Projected margin was 10.2 -- the model overestimated by 24.2 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 20.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.