2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ NE – Week 17 2024
LAC
NE
LAC
AWAY
40@7
LAC +33
FINAL · WEEK 17
2024 SEASON
NE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 65%Projected margin: -2.7
LAC
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
-2.7
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LAC. Projected margin: 2.7. Actual: 33. Off by 30.3 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 27.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -305 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)
NE
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
40°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
285.4SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
J.Dobbins
RB
191.8SEASON PPR
NE
D.Maye
QB
177.1SEASON PPR
R.Stevenson
RB
175.9SEASON PPR
D.Douglas
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@NEW13 2023 | LAC 6, NE 0 | LAC | W |
| NE@LACW8 2021 | NE 27, LAC 24 | LAC | L |
| NE@LACW13 2020 | NE 45, LAC 0 | NE | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES