2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIA @ CLE – Week 17 2024
MIA
CLE
MIA
AWAY
20@3
MIA +17
FINAL · WEEK 17
2024 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER A
PICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 70%Projected margin: -5.0
MIA
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-5.0
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIA. Projected margin: 5.0. Actual: 17. Off by 12.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | MIA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -170 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIA
No noteworthy trends
CLE
divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)home_underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
54°F
WIND
15 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
MIA
D.Achane
RB
299.9SEASON PPR
J.Smith
TE
222.3SEASON PPR
T.Hill
WR
218.2SEASON PPR
CLE
J.Jeudy
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
D.Njoku
TE
148.5SEASON PPR
J.Ford
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@CLEW7 2025 | MIA 6, CLE 31 | MIA | L |
| CLE@MIAW10 2022 | CLE 17, MIA 39 | MIA | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES