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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

DET

DET

AWAY

40@34

DET +6

FINAL · WEEK 17

2024 SEASON

HOME

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THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for DET @ SF are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

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TEAM COMPARISON

DET	METRIC	SF
+0.203	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.028
+0.165	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.069
-0.039	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.041
595	POINTS FOR	389
387	POINTS AGAINST	436
53.6%	PASS RATE	55.6%
100.0%	RED ZONE TD%	81.8%
32.7%	4TH DOWN GO%	15.4%

DETANALYTICS →SFANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-4.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.0

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

DET

road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)

SF

road_favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

DET

J.Gibbs

RB

354.9PPR

J.Goff

QB

324.5PPR

A.St. Brown

WR

316.2PPR

SF

B.Purdy

QB

266.9PPR

G.Kittle

TE

236.6PPR

J.Jennings

WR

210.5PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 17

DET3 LISTED

Kalif Raymond

WR · Foot

OUT

David Montgomery

RB · Knee

OUT

Jalen Reeves-Maybin

LB · Neck

QUESTIONABLE

SF8 LISTED

Spencer Burford

G · Calf

OUT

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
SF@DETW1 2021	SF 41, DET 33

FULL COMPARISON →

DET ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

SF ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES

ARI@LA

9-13

DAL@PHI

7-41

TEN@JAX

13-20

ATL@WAS

24-30

KC@PIT

29-10

LAC@NE

40-7

SEA@CHI

6-3

← WEEK 17 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Dre Greenlaw

LB · Calf

OUT

Robert Beal

DE · Ankle

OUT

Aaron Banks

G · Knee

OUT

Tatum Bethune

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Colton McKivitz

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Ji'Ayir Brown

S · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Charvarius Ward

CB · Not injury related - personal matter

QUESTIONABLE

SF SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.4%

BLITZ RATE

30.5%

MOTION

55.6%

RPO

0.6%

SCREEN

8.4%

NO HUDDLE

2.9%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

SF ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

18.4%

DROP %

4.3%

PRESSURE %

16.8%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

24

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

68.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

86.0

MISSED TACKLE %

11.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

67.2%

Jared GoffDET

TIME TO THROW

2.66s

Jared GoffDET

SEPARATION

4.2 yds

George KittleSF

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.3

Jahmyr GibbsDET

AGGRESSIVENESS

14.3%

Brock PurdySF

AVG YAC

6.7 yds

George KittleSF

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

DET SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

37.2%

BLITZ RATE

27.6%

MOTION

47.5%

RPO

2.0%

SCREEN

11.9%

NO HUDDLE

3.7%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

DET ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

9.6%

DROP %

2.6%

PRESSURE %

18.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.2

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

43

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

65.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

83.8

MISSED TACKLE %

11.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DET @ SF – Week 17 2024