2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ MIA – Week 10 2022
CLE
MIA
CLE
AWAY
17@39
MIA +22
FINAL · WEEK 10
2022 SEASON
MIA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 63%Projected margin: 4.3
MIA
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
4.3
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIA. Projected margin: 4.3. Actual: 22. Off by 17.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 19.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | MIA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -177 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
MIA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
85°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
281.4SEASON PPR
Amari Cooper
WR
246.0SEASON PPR
Jacoby Brissett
QB
168.6SEASON PPR
MIA
Tyreek Hill
WR
341.2SEASON PPR
Jaylen Waddle
WR
259.2SEASON PPR
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@CLEW7 2025 | MIA 6, CLE 31 | MIA | L |
| MIA@CLEW17 2024 | MIA 20, CLE 3 | MIA | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES