2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ PIT – Week 10 2022
NO
PIT
NO
AWAY
10@20
PIT +10
FINAL · WEEK 10
2022 SEASON
PIT
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 59%Projected margin: -1.6
NO
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
-1.6
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick misses. PIT takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NO but PIT won. Projected margin was 1.6 -- the model overestimated by 11.6 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +105 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
PIT
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
37°F
WIND
15 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
211.7SEASON PPR
Chris Olave
WR
198.2SEASON PPR
Andy Dalton
QB
174.2SEASON PPR
PIT
Najee Harris
RB
225.5SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
180.7SEASON PPR
George Pickens
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES