TIER CPICK: LAC
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 50%Projected margin: 2.0
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC C-tier pick misses. SF takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LAC but SF won. Projected margin was 2.0 -- the model overestimated by 4.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
SF
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
LAC6 LISTEDDustin Hopkins
K · right Hamstring
OUT
Keenan Allen
WR · Hamstring
OUT