2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
HOU @ NYG – Week 10 2022
HOU
NYG
HOU
AWAY
16@24
NYG +8
FINAL · WEEK 10
2022 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NYG
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NYG 68%Projected margin: 6.2
NYG
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
6.2
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NYG by 6.2. Actual: 8 points. The model was within 1.8 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | NYG market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -221 | Won · +$0.45 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-5 ATS (38%)
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
50°F
WIND
15 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
HOU
Davis Mills
QB
181.5SEASON PPR
Dameon Pierce
RB
166.4SEASON PPR
Brandin Cooks
WR
145.6SEASON PPR
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
289.0SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
284.0SEASON PPR
Richie James
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES